Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
Trolololo
on 04/07/2017, 10:28:59 UTC

Trolololo, only recently discovered this amazing work - THANK YOU (and others).

I did a bit of my own work in Excel and came up with this chart, which I think is fairly close (based on 1st of the month values in CoinMarketCap). (...)
I then made a monthly chart for BTC for the last 2.5 years and like the correlation.

Nice !!

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But I have to confess I don't completely understand the values for 10 ^ 2.66167155005961 as well as the -17.9183761889864? Could you potentially elaborate or point me in the right direction?
Those are the parameters thar define the log curve.

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Reason been - I tried to evaluate ETH and had to move the START DATE from 9-JAN-2009 (for BTC) to 1-JAN-2013 (ETH?) to get an "acceptable visual correlation" (not very scientific I know). This is my best guess at the moment...

I don't know when ETH was incepted, but that should be the start date.