If all my predictions were always perfectly correct, I would no longer be here.

But I stick to my earlier prediction that "we will see the bitcoin price essentially shrink over the next couple of months." I also predict that the price will go below $40.
Of course, that latter prediction can turn out to be wrong if something unforeseen happens,
Thats the thing - the likelyhood that something unforseen happens is quite big these days. Slovenia? Malta? Luxemburg? Or the Argentinians discover that Bitcoin solves their problem?