Re: Probability of HARD FORK is 80% !

Quote from: deisik on July 15, 2017, 02:39:47 PM

Quote from: teramit on July 14, 2017, 11:42:27 PM

segWIT2x mining support is more than 85% https://coin.dance/blocks#proposals
BTC core nodes are nearly 80% https://coin.dance/nodes
if this goes like this we ll going to see a HARD FORK at 1 August.

I think HF is likely 80% will happen.
15 days left
If you think different plz reply.

You seem to be confused

If SegWit2x gets accepted there won't be a hard fork on the 1st of August or soon thereafter. If this proposal is accepted, only the SegWit part will be activated in August and it doesn't require a hard fork. It is only in November-December the part which requires a real hardfork (2M blocks) will get activated. But it is yet too early to tell whether the SegWit2x will get accepted in less than a week. If Antpool revokes their vote (which is quite possible), there will be no SegWit2x nor pure SegWit for about a year to come. Basically, we will be back to square one

There's still BIP148! IF they get enough hashrate 20-25%, which I believe is possible, SegWit still can happen, no matter if Antpool (Jihan) revokes SegWit2x or not. So far it's all just signaling which has no aboslutely no weight. Nobody of us here knows what miners will run in the last minute when they have to decide.