Yes I totally see your point and I appreciate your detailed reply, it really cleared things up. However, in your theory only the weak hands will get hurt and they deserve to as always. There will indeed be manipulation through this time, people who buy and sell right away because of fear of it going down. People who hold through all this and buy at cheap prices will still end up on top when the market is inflated again.
I guess the lesson here is to think like the big boys (whales) to avoid getting screwed.
There is quite a lot if speculation and hypothesis about what may happen on incoming August 1st or the Segwit. But if you will just continue on just speculating things and over viewing scenarios nothing will happen it could be better if you will just take time on updating yourself for the information about what could possibly happen or what will happen on August 1st. The best way to do is to be ready and expect some thing so you could prepare for the possibilities.