I doubt it, there are different things going on now that will push down the price. The negative sentiments regarding BTC-e and the arrest of the owner and the lost coins and also AlphaBay coins that are not being used. We normally see a cool down period when exchanges gets hacked or coins seized or even illegal markets being closed. I think we might see $3000 in about 2 months from now, when the scaling issues has been dealt with.
$3600 is very optimistic.

What you have mentioned usualy affects the price significantly but this all has already happened some time ago now and didn't dump the price that much. Now is the August 1 that still represents a "threath" although I think we will avoid the split. So there are still good chances for price over 3000$ very soon after that date.