Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Will Fork Lead to Massive Short Squeeze?
by
dooglus
on 30/07/2017, 00:23:42 UTC
At the time of the fork any one who is short bitcoin on Kraken (and I imagine any other exchange supporting bitcoin cash) will be debited an equal amount of BCH.

example:  margin sell (short) 10 XBT/USD = -10 BCH (short xbt, long usd)

Because of this, there is absolutely no way to break even off of a Bitcoin short, let alone profit.

[...]

Or am I missing something big?

I don't understand your logic. Why is there no way to profit from a short?

Here's an example scenario:

I go short 10 BTC at $2700, and wait for the fork. In effect I have borrowed 10 BTC and sold them for $27k. I don't have access to the $27k.

After the short, BCH flops as expected. It's trading for $2 or whatever. BTC has also dropped in price because of all the FUD. It's at $2k. I decide to close my short.

I buy 10 BCH (cost $20) and 10 BTC (cost $20k) and pay off my loans. I have made $7k profit. In reality I'll have to pay some interest and exchange fees, but the basic shape of the trade still stands.

Could this be what you missed?