IMHO
it is the very same as a roll of the dice
the only issue is i see snake eyes looking straight at this!
a hard core gambler might take the risk
Yeah seems more of like a 5% or less chance of actually getting your money back now that is seized by the US government. A few hours ago they even started to transfer all the ETH hotwallet to their own.
People "might" get their money back but not anytime soon since apparently most of it belongs to MtGox
Afaik US government has only seized the domain/server, no one knows who's transferring all those eth/ltc.
i would give a pass to op's offer/bet lol, with all those funds being moved, it's highly unlikely for them to come back online(but i hope they do!).