With the fork going happen and if a good size of the speed drops off the network to mine BCC with about 8 days till difficulty adjustment.
How do you see it playing out?
Longer wait times and tell blocks are found and slow down transactions and confirmations.
Well that all simply depends on how much hash rate goes to the fork, and that's anyone's guess.
It will of course mean average slower blocks until the next diff change, but once the next diff change gets here, that will mean a diff drop also.
I doubt we'll see 20% of the network switch to the fork, but doing the calculations with 20%:
e.g. if it was 20% then that would mean 1/0.8 or 25% longer blocks i.e. expected avg 12.5 mins per block.
we are at the moment 666 blocks in this diff change i.e. 1350 to go so ~1/3 done, ~2/3 to go
2/3 would expect to be 9.375 days, but with the extra 25% that would be 11.7 days so about 2.3 extra days - so even 20% is not that big a change.
The diff drop for 20% would be about 13.3% - i.e. about 2/3 of the 20%
The next diff change, after this up coming one, will also be a little slower, since the first 1/3 of this diff change was at the higher hash rate, so that should be the other 1/3 of the 20% for the whole next diff change, but since it would already have dropped 13.3% ... that 1/3 would mean roughly about another 6.2% diff drop next diff change.
... all that also presuming no hash rate rise
