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Re: Why such agreement that Deflationary currency is a bad thing
by
Billy3
on 07/05/2013, 13:47:45 UTC
I just don't understand where you guys take the idea that "in a deflationary world, free market will make interests negative"

Would you loan 100 BTC today, for the promise of 95 next year?
(if the answer is yes -we have a deal!)

In a deflationary world, you would have much less investment. No credit bubbles; but for that purpose, also all our current wealth is "bubble" -it has been made possible by debit expansion and state deficit spending. We would settle down to where a "solid" growth would have led us -that is, to a much poorer economy. Maybe then we would start growing "healthly" (albait for sure, much more slowly), but the transaction would be incredibly painful, destroying much of our productive system that simply cannot exist without easy credit and the compulsion to consume created by inflation.

This would only happen in a fixed fractional reserve situation whereas you have 100 BTC in your reserves and so you can loan out 500 BTC based on those reserves. Your 100 BTC would be worth 103% at end of year (deflation) and your 500 BTC worth of loans will be worth 110% (of 100BTC) as you loaned them out at a -1% rate (3% - 1%). So you now have 113 BTC (103 + 10 BTC) in reserve at end of year. You then can loan out 65 more BTC.

Otherwise you are correct, you would be better just to hang on to the coin.