Well, this is wrong. because btc38, ATM, not work with xcn. so, you need to calculate with worked exchange - bter.com. after btc38 fix wallet, we can speech about xcn price in cny from btc38.com. no?
no body know, when btc38 admins can fix xcn wallet. may be months or, ... may be never.
That is true, it depends on when or if the wallet gets fixed there.
And also of how much of an impact the increase difficulty has with SIGT.
Miners may drop off, which may mean not a significant hit, and the price may continue to raise, especially if it gets listed at Bittrex.
But as SIGT's difficulty rises, XCN then may be better to switch back to; which hopefully the wallet would be repaired by then.
Though if BTC38 decides to drop the coin, then well, yes, BTER would have to be used.