~15 blocks to go.

Where are you tracking the progress? I thought still 100 blocks were left, maybe I'm a little behind.
BIP 141 doesn't require 100% of blocks to signal for it for it to activate. Its threshold is only 95%.
If 1916 blocks signal SegWit, it's definitely going to lock in regardless of what happens with the later blocks.
At this point though, it would require pretty much every single miner in existence to coordinate not to signal SegWit, which is almost completely impossible. There are only 4 blocks to go.