With crypto you just never know what's going to happen next. People thought that $2,000 is too high and were waiting for correction to buy the dip, than we suddenly got $3,000 after August 1st and people again wondered if it's the top, now we are at $4,000 and as always no one knows what will happen next. If you want to make educated guesses, you need to gather some information about upcoming events from miners, developers, major services.