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I think you're correct. Full information is needed in order to proceed acordingly.
Anyway, I think that the price will eventually reach a stable growth, which should be somewhat proportional with difficulty increases, in order to keep miners producing and the market stable.
Does anyone have any view on why there would be a *healthy* relationship between difficulty and price? I see difficulty as a reaction to price. Price increases cause more miners which raises the difficulty. So April - present has been a GPU arms race for everyone to acquire the highest possible portion of the total network hash rate. This has also driven up the hardware prices as a result, and in many cases caused outages. I think last week and this week are when the arms race stops, and there will still be 2-3 weeks lag as those systems come online.
The only question mark is the price itself. The best explanation is simply influx of outside interests due to the media coverage. The price now is just due to flow of cash. The flow has stopped, and eventually, and probably in the near term, that cash will flow away to some other location as people lose interest. This might be prolonged or prevented if there continued to be more interesting services and uses for Bitcoins that kept interest alive. Which is pretty cool and I think people realize this because there is practically a whole forum full of people scrambling to be the first to set up Bitcoin related operations. So far none of them have gotten to be Bitcoin "killer apps". I think the best thing that could actually happen at this point, is for a robust startup vehicle (like a BTC stock exchange) to fund well organized operations. This is sort of happening on a small scale with things like bounties, but that's not big enough. The closest thing I see to this is that one guy who set up a mining company and managed to get at least a few investors. More mainstream folks would continue to stream in and out of this community, and stay longer if they could invest in stuff. I think the average person would see this as a fun, and approachable bunch of pet projects surrounding a micro-economy. People are more willing to participate because the Wall Street vampire squids haven't haven't gotten their shady & corrupt tentacles onto it yet. So it's like a democratization of an economy (albeit more of a toy, or mock economy still, at this stage).
As a side note, I'd like to add that there really has only been 2-3 unique pieces of news in the past 2 weeks, yet over a dozen different articles released just rehashing the same stuff. Our media in this country sucks. They just copy stories from each other. I would like it if someone came up with a system to analyze news stories/content to trace them back to original source. Which website would get identified as the one generating the most original content?