I feel you! I bought a similar amount over the past month at an average of $4,200. I was doing okay but then bought some just before last weeks crash and then again before this one. The ICO ban effect I was fine about, it was always going to happen and the price recovered quickly. This one however I am much more concerned about. I am quite deep in the red overall and I cannot understand why the recovery has been so slow compared to what happened last week. There doesn't seem to be much upwards action or positive news coming out at the moment. Even the most positive people are waiting and riding out the storm this time whereas last week they were buying the dips and bringing about a speedy recovery.

I know this has happened before but there is just a sense amongst a lot of people I have spoken to that this is going to be a big test and that more bad news is around the corner... Now obviously no one can predict what will happen. We may see a recovery in the next few days. However if everyone is waiting for more news and HODLing then it means few are being defiant and buying which will inevitably lead to further reductions in price.

Rumours, if anything are worse than solid news. If China just banned exchanges we'd probably be at $3,000 but recovering by now however the because of the rumours we're holding out at $4,000 and barely moving from there. A negative announcement therefore will have significant effect as the starting price will be lower.

Overall I am positive in the long run. I cannot see how BTC and other cryptos can be killed off or be knocked back too much more however their strength is certainly being tested right now and there desperately needs to be some kind of widespread positive news to rev up the engines once again.

My overall prediction is that the rest of the year will see a continued decline overall, a trap that BTC has so far avoided apart from in the early days. However after that there will be slow and steady recovery... Maybe lows of $2,500 rising back up to $5,000 through 2018. I'm holding regardless and will continue to use the portfolio I currently have to look for opportunities to soften the blow and bring about some nice gains in the future once it all calms down.