Either way, I hope you are putting your money where your mouth is - because you seem to be hedging too much in the down direction (or hoping - and spouting out certainty FUD in order to attempt to get your down wish to come true), and it could be a painful lesson.

My point is that nothing is certain in bitcoin whether that is down or up, and I am hedged in both direction, even though I currently conclude that our odds for 15% up are a bit greater than our odds for 15% down (maybe 55% for up and 45% for down?).. I am not going to bet too heavily either way (even though of course, I have money invested in bitcoin, so of course, i am better off if the price goes up.. which seems that there continues to be ongoing upwards price pressures)

I know where I think we are