Isnt commercial real estate a rather volatile asset from a valuation and occupancy perspective?
In order to avoid these problems, our team carefully select projects in the most promising locations with stable demand. We define best use objects in order to reduce the vacancy of areas and offer market what it needs. And we are working with potential tenantries to fill the vacant space in a timely manner.
What type of metrics are you reviewing to ensure stability? Do you believe commercial real estate has been on the rise or decline over the last decade? Why would your properties remain occupied in down economic times?
Commercial real estate prices and yields highly correlate with overall economic activity of the region of its location. So if we invested 5 years ago in commercial RE with global diversification we might get really good returns as global economy was in up trend and actually recovering from 2008 crises. Drilling a little bit dipper makes your question much more complicated. For example shopping molls in USA are suffering not their best times and there are a lot of vacancies, but same shopping molls in most EM are still in their uptrend as market still operates below its capacity.
Summing up commercial RE as a class of investment is profitable, but there were losers and winners. We believe that expertise of our team will provide our investors with fantastic opportunities.
Its interesting that your experts would tie a recovery from the 2008 financial meltdown to an uptrend in commercial real estate valuation in that as we recovered from 2008, the Amazon phenomena continued to smash retail storefront usage and thus devalued commercial real estate from that perspective. As the world of commerce moves to the dropship online model, how do you believe the pricing and net occupancy rates work with or against your project and projects goals?
In the case of a liquidation event, how are investors protected by your RE "backed" coin? How will the "backing" translate to security and protection of an initial investors capital?
We totally agree that FANG phenomena dramatically changes our world. Our team wont resist it, we will try to benefit from it. Furthermore the decay of shopping mall industry in developed world is due to not only FANG phenomena, but also because of real overcapacity. Take for example any developing country find there city with at least 700k citizens I bet you will not find there any modern shopping mall. If you build there a shopping mall it will be hugely popular even if we make presumption that all FANG companies are already have business on that territory. People are social creatures. It is nice to get everything delivered to your backdoor, but if it is only shopping mall in town it will definitely be occupied.
It is not quite clear what do you mean when asking about liquidation event. If you are talking about selling RE object because of poor prospectives with discount tonoriginal price our investors will suffer losses, but those losses will be multiple times lower than losses incurred in investing in IT project which product wont find its way to the market. Recovery in later case will be really close to zero. That is why we believe that asset backed coins are much more stable and more secure for risk averse investors.
Give me an example based on the cities youve mentioned in prior posts that were in the developing world and meet your metrics around population vs shopping mall underdevelopment. Why would storefronts pop up in underdeveloped countries when it would still be cheaper for residents of that area to get their goods from an Amazon or other drop-shipping service?
Do you address the Amazon/online retail marketplace and how it will affect your occupancy over time in your whitepaper?
Liquidation event refers to the "backing" claims of your token. How exactly are investors protected by the backing of the RE? In the event you have to sell off the RE to return capital to investors how would you carry that out?