Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: the three doors problem, increasing the chance of finding the right hash
by
forests
on 15/06/2011, 23:41:46 UTC
Most times I ran it the monty hall implementation ran with the lowest average tries, but when the purely random method won it would usually win by a larger margin than the monty hall problem.

Good, run it a few more hundred thousand times and then run a chi-square analysis.

I think you will find that they are not significantly different in terms of how often they find the hash.



thanks, that's an excellent suggestion.  seeing how we're dealing with random numbers and the doors aren't guaranteed to have prizes I don't really doubt that statistically this method is completely unsound.  However I didn't know about chi-square tests and I've got other ideas I'd like to map out using this method.