If by the 'small inactive component of the community' you mean the people that haven't swapped yet... so far that turns out the be a big majority, not a minority.
Nope, only referring to those who fail to swap within the three months the swap will be running for.
There was some rough analysis on this earlier:
... its highly anticipated a huge portion of the supply will be burned by nova as there was only 7.2b active coins including the CV2 dev fund = 3.6b COLX. That being said theres still a chance someone will see this thread and be like OH WAIT I HAVE THAT WALLET DATA!
However through the block explorer that was the rough estimate where coins had been moved or had staked in the last 6 months --- Some of which are now gone forever i.e. cryptopia, soon to be yobit.
Side note given that 3b coins have swapped currently -- And given that there is 180m COLX on the order books, as well as 600m CV2 left on the order books -- The swap may be significantly smaller.
According to Nova there has been 8.04 billion CV2 swapped for 4.02 billion COLX... maybe Mrbates could revisit his analysis now the swap is underway.