Batch #3 pricing:
Batch #3 expected delivery (May) and estimated difficulty at that time:
- Yes, but I think this question can be answered based on how fast we ship batch #2.
- not really, the current diff already includes majority of batch #1's hashing power. but I also don't believe diff will only be 10,000,000 but like I said, it should take at least 1 month of ROI, realistically best case 1 month, regular projection of 3 month, which is about diff 30,000,000 which is more reasonable if BFL ships.
Oh also, expect a newsletter soon.
I would personally be OK if Batch #3 arrives when difficulty is 30m (ROI in +3 months, but still the units would ROI), and very happy if it arrives around 20m (+2 months ROI and a little profit in the long term).
If it arrives with difficulty higher than lets say 35m, ROI won't happen IMO.
ROI is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_Investment. You want to use "break even" term instead to avoid confusion Quote from: Avalon homepage
The price of each unit is the current mining difficulty which at the time of writing, just got readjusted to about 6,695,826. We take that number and multiply it by two ( predicting the network speed will double. ) and calculate the return in a thirty day window, which is about 75 bitcoins.
Batch #3 expected delivery (May) and estimated difficulty at that time:
Quote from: Rampion
Two questions:
- can you guarantee batch #3 delivery not later than May?
- wouldn't the difficulty reach at least 15,000,000 once all your 1,500 units are deployed? Wouldn't be much higher if ASICminer/BFL customers also start deploying more units?
- can you guarantee batch #3 delivery not later than May?
- wouldn't the difficulty reach at least 15,000,000 once all your 1,500 units are deployed? Wouldn't be much higher if ASICminer/BFL customers also start deploying more units?
- Yes, but I think this question can be answered based on how fast we ship batch #2.
- not really, the current diff already includes majority of batch #1's hashing power. but I also don't believe diff will only be 10,000,000 but like I said, it should take at least 1 month of ROI, realistically best case 1 month, regular projection of 3 month, which is about diff 30,000,000 which is more reasonable if BFL ships.
Oh also, expect a newsletter soon.
I would personally be OK if Batch #3 arrives when difficulty is 30m (ROI in +3 months, but still the units would ROI), and very happy if it arrives around 20m (+2 months ROI and a little profit in the long term).
If it arrives with difficulty higher than lets say 35m, ROI won't happen IMO.
