Your logic is extremely shallow. The fact that you said "What if he splitted" shows where the problem is. You keep assuming what is not. Amd again, what have people been buying for the past 39 days at undervalued price? I know of people who bought hundred of thousands of coins. I also bought some and still have them with me. So what makes you so sure that same person selling since October 18 still has much?
I'm not claiming you could understand what's going on. You're in the same boat with an offender, so you're highly subjective. But I'm convinced that many people understand...
You are still assuming. I'm sure many would understand that too.