Post
Topic
Board Trading Discussion
Re: BTC option premium?
by
AndrewSt
on 28/11/2017, 14:46:37 UTC
https://s7.postimg.org/dv7ezhxob/call_put.png

blue dots are individual option buyer's profits.

European CALL / PUT options
BTCUSD price is $8300
Strike is $8300
Term: 30 days
Volume is 1 contract (5 BTC)

-EUR BTC CALLEUR BTC PUT
Premium$7877$1925

Personally, I can't believe the market will reach a consensus around premiums like these.

Summary:
  • The Black-Scholes model is hardly suitable for BTC option premium calculation as BTC is a very trend asset
  • Using BTC price distribution / Monte Carlo simulation we obtain contradictory results

My question is:
- how do you estimate a "fair" premium for a BTC option?