https://s7.postimg.org/dv7ezhxob/call_put.pngblue dots are individual option buyer's profits.
European CALL / PUT options
BTCUSD price is $8300
Strike is $8300
Term: 30 days
Volume is 1 contract (5 BTC)
- | EUR BTC CALL | EUR BTC PUT |
Premium | $7877 | $1925 |
Personally, I can't believe the market will reach a consensus around premiums like these.
Summary:- The Black-Scholes model is hardly suitable for BTC option premium calculation as BTC is a very trend asset
- Using BTC price distribution / Monte Carlo simulation we obtain contradictory results
My question is:
-
how do you estimate a "fair" premium for a BTC option?