Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Price vs. Difficulty Graphs
by
FreeMoney
on 30/11/2010, 06:24:48 UTC
One reason price might follow difficulty is that mining should not be too profitable (because nothing should be too profitable, the world doesn't leave free money lying around). Therefore the price of Bitcoins can't rise too much above the cost of mining (counting equipment depreciation among the costs of course). The cost of mining is proportional to the difficulty (approximately). Therefore we might expect to see price proportional to difficulty.

We do see a nearly proportional relationship in the 1st graph, but that data set was incomplete. I'd like to see that last graph redone with a linear difficulty scale so we could see how the proportionality holds up with more data.

Exactly right about no free money lying around. But that doesn't mean one follows the other, only that they will maintain a close relationship.