You're way overanalyzing the bitcoin move [
] I'd say that's already occurred in bitcoin for this wave.
Indeed I think BTC already topped out (or will next week as the move from $11k to $16k may have only be one leg of two legs up) at $18k $25k
1 then will U bottom for a couple or few months and then skyrocket again to $40k (ditto as in 2013). Then a 67% decline back to < $15k.
Perhaps the altcoins will moon now during the interim lull (usually happens when BTC pauses), as LTC did in 2013 after the first BTC peak.
1 Average pricing including Asian exchanges which are higher as quoted on Coinmarketcap, Shapeshift, and others