actually it's easy if you know the details about the price of the coin, you can predict from the details when he will go down and when he will go up so you can reduce the risk.
as the word warren buffen risks come when you do not know what you are doing.
that's right!

But I also think that the rate can not be predicted on 100 percent ...
Nothing is easily to predict. It's the same with the selling problem. Just sell when you're feeling it's the top price with you. Don't be confused.