Don't analyze this way. Nobody knows the exact price  in the future. Of course it can go up or down. Possibilities? Yes, it can. But you have to analyze it from risk/reward perspective. Learn about "logistic curve" first. Calculate overall % of gain over the long term, compare it to other similar projects. Capitalisations these projects. Compare their teams, ideas, roadmaps, TA etc. And then decide what to do.