My street smarts tells me you are right. I have not hit a block in 5 days although not running anything too ecxciting (no huge virtual machines or servers) just a few i7's. Thanks to the members of this forum who took the time to work on and compile the optimized builds. Once I get things running again here I will send tips.
Love or hate primecoin you have to at least respect the amount of attention it was able to get in a very short time.
First few days were fun and of course the heavy hitters stepped in which is all part of this !
Amazing how 'forced' solo mining has made people step back a little bit and think to earlier times.
For newer people to the scene a new experience.
If people collect coins in the future like they do old silver and gold dollars now having coins from an early block may actually mean something.
I'm guessing at this point either botnets or unreleased GPU miners are scooping up all the coins.
Regular CPU miners appear sidelined, even with their optimized builds.