People are so stupid. No one cares about your pathetic analysis. You know nothing about this technology, and the reason for the speculation and market bumps is because people like YOU.AKA People who don't understand what this is, and will probably never will. Just keep "speculating", god knows that's what you do best. 
You do know that in order to be taken seriously outside of the geek circles, Bitcoin needs people like the OP, right?
Understanding the technology does not a viable currency make.
Bitcoin is NOT a currency!!!
It is USED as currency.