I hope that when it's distributed, influx of new money would be there. Else if is launched in bear market, many people who have been waiting for it for so many months would just dump it to hop into some other alt. For me however, it's going to be a long term hold. I am sure that the team will do great in 2-3 years and this can actually be the ETH killer for real.
I'm also in Tezos for a long term. Both are possible both I think money will influx in Tezos when it comes out.
But this is weird market, not easy to guess.