Speculation based on absolutely nothing but hot air. If you seriously believe that this is the case, then why are you not buying exposure and short Bitcoin with futures? If you are confident in yourself that the market will fall back that much, then this basically is free money for you with no risk attached to it. If Bitcoin does what you think it will do, then you'll be banking big time. People have been spoiled too much with the increase of last year. If we right now would reach $3000 as all time high, the entire market would be extremely happy with that achievement. But now we have gone down to current levels of just over $11,000, people start talking about a bear market.