It took Bitcoin about 4 years to get from $150 to $10000 and that was without having a monitorized flow. In that same time, a 4 year period, Ripple went from $0,006 to an all time high of $3. No, it will not even go past $5 probably, but if you invest smart you might make a small profit.
Just because it took bitcoin 4 years doesn't mean it'll be the same for Ripple. With that being said, I also doubt it'll reach $10k before 2020.
I agree, ripple and btc doesn't have the same path. Don't think of what happen to btc can also happen to ripple, btc is btc and ripple is ripple. $10k for an alt is nearly impossible and just accept the fact there is no alt in the market right now that can come close, equal or surpass bitcoin.