Post
Topic
Board Hardware
Re: Liquid Synergy Designs Inc. -ASIC mining hardware
by
rocks
on 08/08/2013, 18:14:18 UTC
So you guys really think there will be an additional $92,000,000 (give or take 10,000,000) invested in mining by the end of the year?

Yes.

No, a 10x increase in the network hash rate from today's rate, results in roughly a 2 year payback for K16s if BTC stays stable around $100.

Based on network growth during the FPGA/GPU era, the hash rate growth quickly slowed and then stopped when the payback reached around 1 year.

This is logical, when it takes over 1-2 years of mining just to break even and there are risks that some new technology will disrupt that, why not just buy BTC? Maybe now with professional mining companies a slightly longer payback will be accepted, but I don't think we're ever going to see network growth when payback exceeds 10 years anytime soon.

Network    BTC/day   $/day    profit/day   payback (months)
Thash/sec            
 200      0.1008    $10.08    $9.95    0.92
 400      0.0504    $5.04     $4.91    1.87             <<-- We are almost here & going up quick
 600      0.0336    $3.36     $3.23    2.84
 800      0.0252    $2.52     $2.39    3.83
 1,000    0.0202    $2.02     $1.89    4.86
 2,000    0.0101    $1.01     $0.88    10.44
 4,000    0.0050    $0.50     $0.37    24.48          <<--- Hash rate growth will stop here
 6,000    0.0034    $0.34     $0.21    44.41
 8,000    0.0025    $0.25     $0.12    74.89
 10,000   0.0020    $0.20     $0.07    127.31
 20,000   0.0010    $0.10     $(0.03)  
 40,000   0.0005    $0.05     $(0.08)  
 60,000   0.0003    $0.03     $(0.10)                   
 80,000   0.0003    $0.03     $(0.10)  
 100,000   0.0002    $0.02     $(0.11)                 <<-- Need quantum hashing or $10K BTC to get here

Assumes the board costs ~$275, each chip is overclocked to 350MHash, draws 45W at overclock range, electricity costs $0.12 & BTC is $100.