I currently am in the same state of mind as last January. BTC went up and then straight down. I have learn my lesson, next November / December I'll probably sell a few to take profit.
Plus, I am trying to be realistic here :
-There was an unprecedented bullrun to 20k. Odds are veeeery very thin that, in the life of btc, we don't see another similar bullrun again.
-Goldman Sachs exchange !
-Lightning network (dunno really if this will help btc to recover, but hey, still looks bullish to me)
-Maybe some future nice fork annoucements ?
-No more weak hands since the 'crash'
I am hodling at least until mid summer of this year. And if the price stays down, then that would mean to me that I definitely missed the big opportunity at the 20K USD ATH.
HODL
The lightning network is the biggest reason to be bullish about bitcoin, bitcoin has value not because of some inherent value or a decree of the government, it has value because of the network and the utility that provides, the lightning network will make micro payments possible again and the issues with the scaling will be a thing of the past, this is critical and it is the reason I think bitcoin could reach 40k in this year.