I disagree. We have seen worse dips in the past, that is true, and if it was just one dip I would agree with your post. But the market has been having those dips one after the other for quite some time now. You can't compare the situation now to the past as so many things are different now. There are several things that are going on for quite some time now (most of them are related to countries how try to manipulate the market or regulate it) that causes bitcoin to bleed hard. Also you have to consider that last year was crazy for bitcoin, especially the end of the year, and now the market corrects himself. I still think there is a good change BCT will reach ATH again by the end of the year, but I wouldn't say that with complete certainty like you do.
Yes, history will not repeat itself. Who knows what will happen tomorrow, and we do not know whether Bitcoin will fall further tomorrow, we can not use the bitcoin price fluctuations of the past as a reference. What we need is the combination of the current situation to analyze, but bitcoin is slowly back up now, I believe bitcoin will continue to develop.