Post
Topic
Board Pools
Re: [BLOCK PARTY] ckpool.org ZERO FEE SPLNS no registration mining pool
by
Grog!
on 07/02/2018, 10:49:03 UTC
Hello! I just joined your pool with my lonely but hardworking S9 miner, I understand that it's stupid to ask how much I will receive, but what is the probability of finding a block by my miner, with an average speed of 12.8-13.3 Th/s?

Pool Hash rate = 24293141.32 TH/s (02/07/2018)
Your Hash rate = 13 TH/s
Block Write to blockchain speed = 1 every 10 mins.
 
* Units like yours trying to win a blok =  24293141.32 / 13 = 1868703

* 1 / 1868703 * 100 = 0,000053513 % to win a block in 10 minutes

* 1868703 * 10 mins * 1h /60 mins * 1 day / 24 h  = 13000 days = 35,55 years to win a block

0,000053513% probability to win a block in 10 minutes
0,00032% probability to win a block in 1 hour
0,0077% probability to win a block in 1 day
2,8% probability to win a block in 1 year
100% probability to win a block in 35,55 years