Want to make a point re luck, CDF, etc.
Let me start with a point that long term luck is fine, I have no qualms.
In a more granular picture, if you started mining in May of last year, then you are "missing" about 14 blocks, give or take, which is about 4% of all blocks during that period. Granted, if you extend to one year, then you'll have what is expected, even slightly more.
As you can see by sheer number, there were much more blocks coming even a few months ago.
Kano cannot control how many miners mine here, but the result is that with a current trend of relatively stable hash, it would be difficult to 'gain back' those 14 blocks in a reasonable time frame.
In fact, going forward, you always have 100% luck expectation, there is no 'compensation' for bad luck.
That said, maybe he will have 110% luck for half a year, i would be fine with that.
In general, this used to be a much happier place, even when the luck was temporarily low.
Suggestion: need another 100-150 PH hash, pronto.
So we recruit then?
I'm in.
Point me in the right direction!