... even out ...
yup....
Pool size has nothing to do with Luck. It has to do with how many shares are submitted before a block is found.
Must be that time of the week for DPoS2 to post

One thing completely wrong about his post is that luck
isn't expected to
even outIt is expected to approach 100% from whatever side it is currently on.
Having a bad block doesn't make lots of good block come around to fix the bad block.
Case in point, we just had an ~600% blocks and we've already passed 111% on this one.
Large (enough) sample stats are all you can expect to give you a good idea of expected results.
At some point, does the much larger network hash rate make the statistics not hold up? I have my junky miners mining on a couple of lottery tickets, but realistically, they will never return anything. It would seem that once a contributor gets too small, relative to the total network hash, then the frequency of the pool hitting a block is going to dwindle.