The short and crisp answer to the question is no one knows. As the old saying goespredictions are hard, especially about the future. Its hard to know when the bubble will end. Its impossible to know if the price will keep going up, and its hard to even guess. We also have no idea if going short right now, or betting that the price will decline, will be better than going long, or betting that the price will continue to go up over time. Again, Bitcoin is highly volatile, and is thus not a conservative way to build something as essential as retirement. Bitcoin and other crypto currencies are so new that the market is still essentially trying to figure out their value. We dont know what itll be like next week, never mind when you near retirement age. Catalini compares whats happening now with Bitcoin to people wondering about the value of the equity in a startup. As expectations about the future potential of a startup shift, the perceived value of that startup changes too, and can fluctuate wildly. Something similar is happening here. However, according the positive speculations anytime is right time to invest in Bitcoins.