Post
Topic
Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
DeathAndTaxes
on 30/08/2013, 01:13:04 UTC
I know the 6hr average doesn't mean squat, but...

http://www.dpcapital.net/blockchain/?hours=1,2,3,4,5,6,7
http://blockchain.info/blocks/ASICMiner

no blocks AT ALL for the last six hours!?! Shocked

There is a ~3% chance of 0 blocks vs 3.6 blocks expected in 6 hours is due to luck.
There is a ~1% chance of 0 blocks vs 4.8 blocks expected in 8 hours is due to luck.
There is a ~0.2% chance of 0 blocks vs 6.0 blocks expected in 10 hours is due to luck.

Assumes AM is operating at 10% of network hashrate (well technically 10% of the hashrate required to sustain the current difficulty), if AM is lower then the chances would be higher.