Well the information about 90% of the coins failing is not really that new we know that is more or less the failure rate, that does not mean that will happen this year but eventually 90% of the altcoins will fail, about the price of bitcoin that is a possibility but I'm not so sure right now the price does not seem like it is going to reach 40k anytime soon but things can change if we get good news for bitcoin and alts like other countries legalizing bitcoin and accepting it as a currency.