Forget the MPOS estimates, the difficulty is still retargeting like crazy, you'll see huge differences every round. It actually should already be different right now.

Choose the pool you trust more, you know more, then set your rig and check what you've earned after 24h.

I can make you a promise, if you set a rig with the same hashrate on suprnova and another one on a different pool and you really earn less on suprnova, I'll gladly pay the difference.

Suprnova is even PPLNS vs Prop - so if you're not a pool hopper, you'll definitely earn more 8-D