... total market capitalization will drop to $250,000,000
So there is a long way to go yet!
I suspect that those who entered the market recently, within the last 3 months, I unlikely to ever see a return on their investment. I doubt the market will reach $600,000,000 to $800,000,000 again.
HODL is bad advice. This happens every January is nonsense.
You have been warned.
Your analisys is superficial and very sort-term sighted. Crypto market is set to grow to great heights, you just need to understand the concept of patience.