I don't think bitcoin can go deeper as $4000, maybe it will stabilize in this value for quite sometime and will recover somewhere in the 2nd quarter of this year. I think after tHe Chinese New Year bitcoin value will start to recover. Let's all be positive for bitcoin because the negative we think about it can affects the decision of some who wants to invest in bitcoin.
In fact, everything that the OP has mentioned is just plain junk and nothing else. This may happen but what is the point. The market is showing a bullish pattern and even if it ends up not being bullish, who cares? The fact remains that the long term of it is what matters and all his theories are just more like a nursery school analysis which does not really make a single sense at all.
Well not everyone of us are looking long term here but yeah, though i believe there will still be major corrections like the one to start this year, 4k is way below us now. Be probably hit the bottom already this year when we bounced just below 6k