I think the probability of that is low. All I said is that you have to look at the possibility. You don't have to assume it's 100% certain.
What you think more is more or less irelevant.
We need some hard evidence. This mumbo jumbo about
probabilities or some empty words is not gonna cut it anymore.
More than half of the last AM dividend came from hardware sales. Roughly speaking, AM share price trends toward 25% APR; without the sales price would probably be below 1.0. LC will not have meaningful hardware sales, and a network hashrate of only 1 PH in November is unrealistic.
Just to add some numbers.
This week Asiminer dividend from mining was only 0,00593 per share with 2,374.66153794 BTC mined.
rest came from hardware sales and mining franchising. (3,234.63 BTC)