Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Topic OP
Crash duration
by
Joe200
on 09/09/2013, 13:12:56 UTC
UPDATE: new version here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=610189.0

Here is a list of all previous price drops of 15 percent or more. Peak, trough, number of days from peak to tough, and percent price drop.

Code:
1  2010-07-19     0.09 2010-07-24     0.05   5 44.4
2  2010-11-07     0.36 2010-12-10     0.19  33 47.2
3  2011-01-16     0.39 2011-01-19     0.31   3 20.5
4  2011-02-14     1.06 2011-04-05     0.67  50 36.8
5  2011-05-14     7.86 2011-05-21     5.97   7 24.0
6  2011-06-09    29.58 2011-11-18     2.14 156 92.8
7  2012-01-08     7.05 2012-02-16     4.19  39 40.6
8  2012-08-17    13.26 2012-08-19     9.09   2 31.4
9  2013-04-09   214.67 2013-04-16    65.33   7 69.6

The longest crash lasted 156 days. It has now been 153 days since the April 9 peak.

Typically, though, crashes are over very quickly. The median is only 7 days. The mean is 33.6 days.