I'm a noob, so humor me as I wrap my head around what might happen when the KnCMiner pool switches on. Only Jupiter machines will be involved. Each ASIC box capable of .4+ TH/sec. So figure 600 boxes (my guess is 10% of units sold) all hosted by KnC = 240+ TH/sec round the clock, right?
Metaphorically speaking, that's like 600 Bucyrus RH400 hydraulic shovels vs a few hundred guys with teaspoons.
Thoughts? Are my numbers way off? Corrections appreciated.
There is likely to be some massive swings in the relative sizes of the pools in the coming months. From the end of September to the mid of Jan there is a heck-of-a-lot of power being added to the network, like never before. KnC do seem like they will be first to add a large amount of hashing power in September and October so expect some large spikes all over the place while it settles down.
After we get through this massive increase in difficulty and hashing rates, the first quarter of next year will be much more sedate. There is just not the demand to keep doubling the network hash rate for the same returns. In my view the coin price needs to rise a lot now to pay back all the investment that's been poured into mining in the past 4 (and next 2) months.