Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: Estimate of ASIC pre-orders (6,000 to 8,000 TH/s by end of 2013)
by
btc_uzr
on 10/09/2013, 22:24:50 UTC
KNC Sept/Oct 500TH/s is way too low, because September are day1+2 [1,7] only(?) and ~800 orders [2].
Most of the orders contain at least one Jupiter, few orders contain one Saturn [6] which has not upgraded meanwhile [speculation].
October orders are shipped on 11 business days, so lets assume another 11*(800/2)= 4400 orders (containing Mercuries as well).
According to knc-staff Jupiter will have at least 500GH/s [3].

So let's calculate with 0,5TH/s as an average per order [6]: (800 + 4400) * 0,5TH/s = 2.600TH/s
Maybe even more since there are orders with 6,8,10+ Jupiters [6].
Cloudhashing wanted to buy from knc as well [4], don't know whether they actually pre-ordered. If so I guess it's one huge order. Looks like they did [7].


Those days knc is shipping ppl will think the network-graph must be broken as it is showing hashrate increase at an angle of 88° or so until October 15th when last ones are shipped [5]. At least it will not be comparable to anything we saw before during this time x_X



[1] https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-32
  "Finally we wish to confirm that yes we are still on track for our delivery towards the end of September."

[2] https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-20
  "The number was 890 but has dropped a little as not all bank transfers arrived in time."

[3] http://forum.kncminer.com/forum/main-category/hardware/107-psu-recommendation-jupiter-the-largest-planet?p=1050#post1050
  "According to our engineers an 850W, 80+ Gold certified PSU should be enough for a Jupiter running at the expected speed of 500 GH/s."

[4] https://cloudhashing.com/blog/13-blog/press/65-bitcoin-mining-as-a-service-maas
  "He (Cloudhashing’s founder, Emmanuel Abiodun) is also in negotiation with KNC, which he says is pledging September delivery for its own ASIC products."

[5] https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-33
  " All current paid orders will be shipped no later than October 15th.
    All new sales will reflect our November price point of;"

[6] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=249065.0
   "In Total 138 Jupiter 65 Saturn 17 Mercury"

[7] https://www.cloudhashing.com/frequently-asked-questions
  "A1: (...) We are currently mining and by September 2013, will be operating at over 115 terahashes. This number will climb steeply to 300 terahashes by November 2013. "
  "A2: We expect mining for September contracts to start by 26th September 2013 (...)"


*edits:
-added [speculation]
-removed [unverified] - thanks for contribution!
-added new links
-made it more readable