Post
Topic
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Merits 2 from 2 users
Re: A different focus
by
LoyceV
on 28/02/2018, 18:44:11 UTC
⭐ Merited by marlboroza (1) ,DarkStar_ (1)
On the gambling issue, it is difficult for me to reach a firm opinion.  As I said in the Alia thread, I don’t know enough about gambling to assess this issue.  I have trouble following the discussion, since I do not know all the jargon.  It would take me hours of reading to even begin to get a handle on the issue, when I am already exhausted (now awake much >24 hours due to this Alia blowup...).  I’d be interested in hearing what unbiased, technically competent persons who know gambling have to say about the matter.
Do you mind if I jump in here? I've been a Mod in an online casino for over two years, and the one thing that's always been very clear, is there is no winning method, script or bot. You can get lucky, you can get lucky quite a lot, but luck is all there is to it. You can win at 1% chance, or lose at 98% chance. The former is just much less likely than the latter, but both are possible.

aTriz posted this:
Was given a vouch copy of the method by op and played around with in with funds from the faucet.

With the 10 minutes I used this script with, I profited and worked perfectly. Would recommend.

I made an extremely good ROI, and I’m sure that others who buy the method will experience similar results. Thanks, Alia!
Let's assume he turned a 30% profit in 10 minutes. I just went to BetKing, played 1 bet at 76% chance, and instantly earned 30% profit (Bet # 32333134)!
What does this say about my system? It means nothing! But it is the same result as aTriz reached in 10 minutes. Am I a master gambler or what?

Using past results to predict future bets is like a lottery winner telling you to buy a ticket, because it worked for him. Gambling, and especially your chance to win/lose, isn't intuitive. People easily see patterns, while it's just random numbers. Winning once doesn't mean you'll win again. Winning many times doesn't mean anything either (as long as the game is fair, cheating can change this of course).
Now, back to BetKing: I did it again (Bet # 32333137)! And again (32333138) and again (32333139)!
I could vouch for "bet all at 1.3x four times", but doing so would only make me look like I don't understand math. My fifth (32333140) and eighth (32333143) bets lost.

Selling a winning script is like selling the goose with the golden eggs: if it would exist, you wouldn't need to sell it.

The only way I see aTriz getting out of the contract is if alia doesn’t make at least 30 posts per month.
The contract states 30 to 100 posts per month. Alia has already posted more than 100.