The "realness" of your offsite has nothing whatsoever to do with whether your onsite will go up (+EBG) or down (-EBG). If two people have the exact same investment (say 50 btc onsite + 50 btc offsite) then that investment (specifically their onsite) will take the exact same trajectory. Obviously...

Do take that mail I sent you seriously Ryan, because this isn't just wrong but (as BaB currently stands) exploitably wrong.