Post
Topic
Board Mining (Altcoins)
Re: Swedish ASIC miner company kncminer.com
by
crumbs
on 15/09/2013, 17:02:57 UTC
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Now there's several good reasons why the difficulty will -not- get to 7 billion with the price of bitcoin at $125. There's ROI to think about, the cost of hardware must be amortized in, which means the difficulty is actually very likely to level off at more around 2 billion or less.
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You're ignoring that:

1.  Miners pre-order their gear months in advance, so the gear ordered today is *locked in* -- it will mine even if it makes pennies over power cost.
2.  People are bad at math -- they will continue to come up with "but bitcoin will be worth moar" arguments & mine at a loss.
3.  Even when people are given a chance at a refund (the case with KNC?), they don't use it -- even when all evidence tells them to do so.  Some yet unnamed gambler's fallacy, i guess.
4.  People bought & are still buying USB miners -- case in point.