You have to understand that the crypto market is very small and it can be manipulated very easily by whales and market makers. Banks and institutions coming making presence in the market makes short term outlook even worse. Nevertheless if you believe the crypto is here ti sta when looking long-term, I think your position is better than others who will be flodding in this year.
I like the way you are thinking. There's a lot of traps done by smart people who understand what drives human behavior and emotion. Don't fall victim, always think twice.